A r c h i v e d I n f o r m a t i o n
A Back to School Special Report on the Baby Boom Echo: No End in Sight (August 19, 1999)
Highlights from The Baby Boom Echo:
No End in Sight
- Total public and private school enrollment will rise to a record 53.2 million.
- Total college enrollment will rise to a record 14.9 million.
Between 1989 and 2009--
- Elementary school enrollment will rise by 4.7 million, secondary enrollment by 3.6 million and college enrollment by 2.8 million.
- Public high school enrollment is expected to increase by 29 percent, while elementary enrollment is projected to increase by 15 percent.
- The number of public high school graduates will increase by 18 percent.
- Seventeen states will have at least a 15 percent increase in the number of public high school graduates, with a 146 percent increase projected for Nevada, 85 percent for Arizona, 56 percent for California, and 51 percent for Florida.
- Full-time college enrollment is projected to rise by 26 percent.
Between 1999 and 2009--
- Public high school enrollment is expected to increase by nearly 9 percent, while elementary enrollment is projected to decrease by less than one percent.
- The number of public high school graduates will increase by 16 percent.
- Fifteen states will have at least a 15 percent increase in the number of public high school graduates, with a 77 percent increase projected for Nevada, 56 percent for Arizona, and 40 percent for North Carolina.
- The total number of public and private high school teachers is expected to rise by 75,000--a 6 percent increase; a total of 2.2 million public elementary and secondary school teachers will be needed over the period to accommodate the new students and replace those teachers who retire or leave the profession for other reasons.
- Full-time college enrollment is projected to rise by 14 percent.
- Unlike the decline after the previous baby boom, where births dropped down to 3.1 million in the early 1970s, the number of births is not projected to fall off, but to increase slowly for the next 10 years. Long-range projections by the U.S. Bureau of the Census indicate that the number of births will continue to rise thereafter, from to 4.2 million in 2009 to 4.8 million in 2028.
[ Table of Contents ] [ No End in Sight ]
Last Updated -- August 19, 1999, (smj)