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HEA: TRIO McNair Postbaccalaureate Achievement - FY 2005

CFDA Number: 84.217A - TRIO - McNair Postbaccalaureate Achievement

Program Goal: Increase the percentage of low-income, first-generation college students who successfully pursue postsecondary education opportunities.

Objective 1 of 1: Increase postsecondary persistence and completion rates of low-income, first-generation individuals in the academic pipeline.
Indicator 1.1 of 1: Graduate school enrollment and persistence: Percentages of McNair participants enrolling and persisting in graduate school.
Measure 1.1.1 of 1: The percentage of TRIO McNair participants enrolling in and persisting in graduate school.
Year Actual Performance Performance Targets
Enrollment Persistence
Enrollment Persistence
35 48
35 75
35 48
40 66
35 48
39 65
35 48
36 78
36 75
36 75
36 70

Source: Grantee Performance Report, 1840-0640 Performance Report for the Ronald E. McNair Postbaccalaureate Achievement Program.

Frequency: Annually.

Next Data Available: December 2005

Data Validated By: No Formal Verification.
The annual performance report is self-reported data; a variety of data quality checks are used to assess the completeness and reasonableness of the data submitted.

Limitations: The primary data source is the annual performance report that comprises self-reported data.
Explanation: In 2003, McNair postbaccaulareate achievement exceeded the target; while the 38 percent enrollment rate was a decline from the previous year, it is still above the level of three and four years previous. Graduate school enrollment is in part influenced by economic conditions, and so the slight fluctuations in trend data can be explained by changing economic conditions. The 78 percent persistence rate for McNair in 2003 is not comparable to previous years' persistence rates. The rate for 2003 is a one-year rate that assesses the percentage of McNair recipients who were enrolled at the end of their first year in graduate school in school year 2001-02 (1,407), and who were still enrolled at the end of school year 2002-03 (1,102). The previous years' persistence rates were cumulative persistence rates. This change from a cumulative persistence rate to an one-year rate was made to bring the persistence calculation for McNair more in line with the persistence calculations of other OPE programs. The targets for FY 2004-05 were based on 1999 performance; data for 2001-03 were not available when 2004-05 targets were set.

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